Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.210029 0.244314 0.282503 0.328212 0.381466 0.441588 0.514675
2025-02-16 0.155882 0.201191 0.257177 0.331534 0.427866 0.548695 0.712162
2025-02-23 0.125333 0.173695 0.237857 0.329395 0.457001 0.629142 0.879992
2025-03-02 0.102471 0.150433 0.217839 0.319762 0.470575 0.686471 1.020800
2025-03-09 0.090780 0.140108 0.212992 0.328929 0.509642 0.782123 1.227166
2025-03-16 0.079742 0.128667 0.204247 0.330022 0.535389 0.859743 1.415400
2025-03-23 0.071928 0.120863 0.199592 0.336133 0.568761 0.952134 1.638329
2025-03-30 0.063151 0.110129 0.188573 0.329874 0.580203 1.009201 1.808716
2025-04-06 0.056365 0.101763 0.180254 0.326746 0.595952 1.074551 2.001031
2025-04-13 0.051208 0.095529 0.174715 0.327546 0.618305 1.153512 2.227599
2025-04-20 0.048676 0.093704 0.176734 0.342238 0.667796 1.287491 2.575176
2025-04-27 0.046088 0.091412 0.177531 0.354550 0.714010 1.420471 2.938069
2025-05-04 0.043195 0.088262 0.176495 0.363511 0.755544 1.551074 3.317909
2025-05-11 0.039952 0.084023 0.172837 0.366769 0.786034 1.663672 3.677039
2025-05-18 0.036537 0.078976 0.166897 0.364406 0.804172 1.752474 3.996473
2025-05-25 0.032776 0.072719 0.157669 0.353730 0.802705 1.798683 4.226355
2025-06-01 0.031173 0.070978 0.157872 0.363889 0.849041 1.956101 4.735504
2025-06-08 0.029019 0.067728 0.154359 0.365101 0.874830 2.069839 5.156276
2025-06-15 0.027472 0.065683 0.153304 0.371872 0.914542 2.220879 5.689837
2025-06-22 0.025151 0.061526 0.146880 0.364936 0.919961 2.290084 6.025912
2025-06-29 0.023277 0.058228 0.142111 0.361470 0.933571 2.381103 6.431727
2025-07-06 0.021829 0.055817 0.139212 0.362356 0.958425 2.503637 6.939515
2025-07-13 0.021331 0.055758 0.142132 0.378639 1.025812 2.745015 7.809232